Electric Trucks Market to Reach USD 13.7 Billion by 2033

Tajammul Pangarkar
Tajammul Pangarkar

Updated · Nov 14, 2024

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Introduction

The Global Electric Trucks Market is projected to grow from USD 0.9 billion in 2023 to an estimated USD 13.7 billion by 2033, reflecting a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.3% during the forecast period from 2024 to 2033.

Electric trucks are commercial vehicles powered entirely by electric energy, using battery-electric or hydrogen fuel cell technologies. These trucks are designed to transport goods and materials while significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.

They are equipped with electric drivetrains, offering benefits such as lower operating costs, quieter operation, and zero tailpipe emissions, making them an integral part of the global shift towards sustainable transportation. Electric trucks are deployed across various segments, including light-duty for urban deliveries and heavy-duty for long-haul logistics.

Electric Trucks Market By Size

The Electric Trucks Market refers to the global industry focused on the production, distribution, and adoption of electric-powered trucks. It encompasses various stakeholders, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), battery suppliers, charging infrastructure providers, and end-users such as logistics and e-commerce companies.

This market is driven by increasing regulatory pressures to curb emissions, advancements in battery technology, and rising demand for cost-efficient and sustainable logistics solutions. It spans different geographies, with varying levels of maturity, and caters to diverse applications ranging from last-mile delivery to heavy-duty freight.

The Electric Trucks Market is experiencing robust growth due to several key factors. Government policies and regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions play a significant role, offering incentives such as subsidies, tax rebates, and grants to accelerate adoption. Technological advancements in battery energy density and charging infrastructure are enhancing the feasibility of electric trucks by improving their range and reducing downtime.

Demand for electric trucks is on the rise, driven by increased awareness of environmental sustainability and the operational advantages they offer. Sectors such as e-commerce, logistics, and urban transportation are leading adopters, leveraging electric trucks for last-mile delivery to meet growing consumer expectations for faster, greener delivery services.

The Electric Trucks Market presents significant opportunities for innovation and investment. The development of advanced battery technologies, including solid-state batteries, could revolutionize the market by offering longer ranges and shorter charging times. Expansion of charging infrastructure, particularly in emerging markets, also represents a critical area of growth.

Furthermore, the integration of electric trucks with smart logistics systems and IoT-enabled fleet management solutions could drive operational efficiencies and open new revenue streams for technology providers. As companies seek to reduce their carbon footprints, partnerships between OEMs, energy providers, and government bodies will create a fertile ground for further market expansion.

Key Takeaways

  • The Electric Trucks Market was valued at USD 0.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 13.7 billion by 2033, registering a CAGR of 31.3% over the forecast period.
  • In 2023, Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) dominated the propulsion segment, accounting for 76.3% of the market share, driven by stringent zero-emission policies.
  • Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) held the second-largest market share in 2023, offering a balance of versatility and extended range.
  • Light Duty Trucks led the vehicle type segment in 2023, reflecting the growing demand for urban delivery solutions.
  • Medium Duty Trucks secured the second-largest share in 2023, widely used in commercial applications and the construction industry.
  • The Asia-Pacific region (APAC) emerged as the market leader in 2023, holding a 45.2% share valued at USD 0.41 billion, supported by government initiatives and robust industrial growth.

Electric Trucks Statistics

  • Electrification of trucking is projected to create over 140,000 new jobs in the electric vehicle sector by 2030.
  • Adoption of electric trucks will reduce global oil demand by 48,000 barrels daily by 2030.
  • The U.S. is expected to have 54,000 electric trucks on the road by 2025.
  • The electric semi-truck market is set to grow 18.3% annually over the next seven years.
  • Electric flatbed truck sales are forecasted to rise by 23.1% annually through 2026.
  • In 2022, 66,000 electric buses and 60,000 medium- and heavy-duty trucks were sold globally.
  • China sold 54,000 electric buses and 52,000 electric medium- and heavy-duty trucks in 2022, comprising 80% and 85% of global sales, respectively.
  • Most electric trucks sold in China in 2022 were box trucks under 4.5 tonnes gross vehicle weight.
  • The average range of electric trucks in China exceeded 300 km, while electric buses reached over 400 km.
  • 8% of new energy buses are used for intercity travel.
  • In 2022, 2,000 electric trucks were sold across the European Union.
  • Electric garbage trucks could reduce urban noise pollution by 30%.
  • By 2030, electric trucks could cut CO2 emissions by 68 million tons in the goods transport sector.
  • Global electric trucks could save 170 million metric tons of CO2 emissions by 2030.
  • Electric trucks are forecasted to make up over 50% of medium- and heavy-duty truck sales in North America by 2030.
  • Single-unit trucks in the U.S. total 14 million, making up 5% of all registered vehicles.
  • U.S. trucks move 11.46 billion tons of freight annually.
  • Light-duty trucks average a fuel efficiency of 19.5 miles per gallon.
  • Trucks in the U.S. have an average annual mileage of 9,800 miles.
  • Women now represent 8.1% of truck drivers, marking seven consecutive years of growth.
  • Diesel semi-trucks contribute 18% of U.S. vehicle emissions.
  • Switching to zero-emission trucks could prevent 66,800 premature deaths and 1.75 million asthma attacks by 2050.
  • Electric trucks provide a 13% lower total cost of ownership per mile than diesel, with current battery prices at $135/kWh.
  • Battery costs for EVs are expected to drop to $40-60 per kWh by 2030.
  • The 50-250 kWh battery capacity segment leads the EV trucking market.
  • North America’s electric truck market generates $3.9 billion in revenue.

Emerging Trends

  • Technological Advancements in Battery Systems: Innovations in battery technology are enhancing the range and efficiency of electric trucks. For instance, the Tesla Semi has demonstrated a range of approximately 500 miles on a single charge, showcasing the potential for long-haul electric trucking.
  • Regulatory Support and Environmental Policies: Governments worldwide are implementing stringent emission regulations and offering incentives to promote the adoption of electric trucks. In the United States, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has set ambitious targets for reducing emissions from heavy-duty vehicles, encouraging manufacturers to accelerate the development of electric models.
  • Expansion of Charging Infrastructure: The development of robust charging networks is crucial for the widespread adoption of electric trucks. Initiatives such as the installation of high-power charging stations along major transportation routes are underway to support the unique requirements of heavy-duty electric vehicles.
  • Strategic Industry Collaborations: Companies are forming partnerships to advance electric truck technology and deployment. For example, Einride, a Swedish transport company, has collaborated with major corporations to integrate electric trucks into their logistics operations, highlighting a trend towards collaborative efforts in the industry.
  • Diversification of Electric Truck Offerings: Manufacturers are expanding their electric truck portfolios to cater to various market segments. This includes the development of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty electric trucks, addressing diverse transportation needs and promoting broader adoption across industries.

Top Use Cases

  • Urban Delivery and Last-Mile Logistics: Electric trucks are ideal for urban deliveries due to their zero-emission profiles and suitability for short-distance routes. Companies like Amazon have deployed electric trucks in cities to reduce emissions and comply with urban environmental regulations.
  • Municipal Services and Waste Management: Electric trucks are being adopted for municipal services such as waste collection. For example, in 2023, Hue City in Vietnam launched a pilot program with six electric trucks for waste collection, aiming to reduce urban pollution.
  • Regional Freight and Distribution: Electric trucks are suitable for regional freight operations, typically covering distances up to 300 miles. Companies like PepsiCo have integrated electric trucks into their regional distribution networks to enhance sustainability.
  • Port Operations and Drayage: Electric trucks are increasingly used in port operations to transport goods over short distances, reducing emissions in and around port areas. For instance, Amazon plans to deploy electric trucks at the Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex to lower emissions.
  • Construction and Mining Operations: Electric trucks are being utilized in construction and mining sectors, where their high torque and lower operational costs are advantageous. Companies are exploring electric trucks for transporting materials within construction sites and mining operations, aiming to reduce fuel costs and emissions.

Major Challenges

  • High Initial Purchase Costs: Electric trucks typically have a higher upfront cost compared to diesel counterparts. For instance, a new clean-diesel long-haul tractor costs between $180,000 to $200,000, whereas a comparable battery-electric tractor can cost upwards of $480,000, presenting a substantial financial barrier for many fleet operators.
  • Limited Charging Infrastructure: The scarcity of charging stations, especially along major freight corridors, poses a significant hurdle. The development of a comprehensive charging network is essential to support long-haul operations and alleviate range anxiety among operators.
  • Battery Weight and Energy Density Constraints: Current battery technologies often result in increased vehicle weight, which can reduce payload capacity. Additionally, the energy density of batteries affects the range and efficiency of electric trucks, necessitating ongoing research and development to enhance performance.
  • Supply Chain and Material Sourcing Issues: The production of electric trucks relies heavily on critical minerals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel. These materials are concentrated in a limited number of countries, leading to potential supply chain vulnerabilities and ethical concerns related to mining practices.
  • Operational Limitations and Range Anxiety: Electric trucks currently face limitations in range, particularly under heavy loads or in extreme weather conditions. This can restrict their suitability for long-haul routes, where consistent and extended range is crucial for operational efficiency.

Top Opportunities

  • Expansion into Emerging Markets: Developing regions present significant potential for electric truck adoption. For instance, India’s Blue Energy Motors plans to raise $100 million by January to support capacity expansion, aiming to triple its sales to 3,000 LNG-powered trucks next financial year and launch its first electric truck.
  • Advancements in Battery Technology: Innovations in battery systems are enhancing the range and efficiency of electric trucks. Companies like CATL are developing off-the-shelf EV platforms integrating long-range batteries into the chassis, significantly reducing EV development costs and opening up the industry to new entrants.
  • Government Incentives and Regulatory Support: Policies promoting zero-emission vehicles are accelerating market growth. In the United States, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has set ambitious targets for reducing emissions from heavy-duty vehicles, encouraging manufacturers to accelerate the development of electric models.
  • Infrastructure Development Initiatives: The expansion of charging infrastructure is crucial for the widespread adoption of electric trucks. Initiatives such as the development of high-power charging networks are underway to support the unique requirements of heavy-duty electric vehicles.
  • Strategic Industry Collaborations: Partnerships between manufacturers, technology firms, and logistics companies are fostering innovation and accelerating deployment. For example, Einride, a Swedish transport company, has collaborated with major corporations to integrate electric trucks into their logistics operations, highlighting a trend towards collaborative efforts in the industry.

Key Player Analysis

  • AB Volvo: AB Volvo is a pioneer in the electric truck market. In 2023, it delivered over 4,000 electric trucks, a 100% increase from 2022. Its lineup includes models like the Volvo FE Electric and Volvo FL Electric, designed for urban logistics and waste management. Volvo aims for electric trucks to make up 50% of its sales by 2030.
  • BYD Auto Co. Ltd: BYD, a leader in electric vehicles, sold 5,000 electric trucks in 2023, growing by 60% year-over-year. It offers models such as the T3, T5, and T7, catering to diverse commercial needs. BYD’s strength lies in its proprietary battery technology, ensuring competitive pricing and efficiency.
  • Daimler AG: Daimler’s Mercedes-Benz eActros saw more than 2,000 units delivered in 2023, targeting heavy-duty applications. Daimler plans to expand with models like the eEconic and eActros LongHaul, aiming for carbon-neutral operations by 2039.
  • Dongfeng Motor Corporation: Dongfeng sold over 3,500 electric trucks in 2023, a 45% increase from the prior year. Its models, including the Captain-E and Tianjin-E, are widely used in urban logistics. Dongfeng benefits from strong government support and innovation in China’s domestic market.
  • PACCAR Inc. : PACCAR, parent to Kenworth and Peterbilt, delivered around 1,000 electric trucks in 2023. Key models include the Kenworth K270E and Peterbilt 220EV, primarily serving the North American market. PACCAR is heavily investing in charging infrastructure and technology partnerships.

Recent Developments

  • In 2024: Ashok Leyland, a flagship of the Hinduja Group and a leading commercial vehicle manufacturer in India, commenced the delivery of its AVTR 55T Electric, BOSS 19T Electric, and BOSS 14T Electric trucks to Billion Electric Mobility, a member of Group BillionE.
  • In 2024: The Volvo Group completed its acquisition of Proterra Inc.’s battery business for $210 million. The transaction includes a battery development center in California and an assembly facility in South Carolina, enhancing Volvo’s electric vehicle capabilities.
  • In 2024: Xos, Inc. finalized its acquisition of ElectraMeccanica Vehicles, known for its three-wheeled electric SOLO. The all-stock transaction, valued at approximately $48 million, strengthens Xos’ position in the electric vehicle and fleet electrification market.

Conclusion

The electric trucks market is set for significant expansion, driven by technological advancements, regulatory support, and the global focus on sustainable transportation. Key growth factors include improvements in battery performance, expanding charging infrastructure, and increasing demand from sectors like logistics and urban transportation. As businesses strive to reduce carbon emissions and enhance operational efficiency, electric trucks are becoming a vital component of modern fleet strategies. This market evolution signals a transformative shift in the commercial vehicle industry, aligning with long-term environmental and economic goals.

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Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar is a CMO at Prudour Pvt Ltd. Tajammul longstanding experience in the fields of mobile technology and industry research is often reflected in his insightful body of work. His interest lies in understanding tech trends, dissecting mobile applications, and raising general awareness of technical know-how. He frequently contributes to numerous industry-specific magazines and forums. When he’s not ruminating about various happenings in the tech world, he can usually be found indulging in his next favorite interest - table tennis.

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