MENASA Commercial Vehicle Market to Reach USD 686.6 Million by 2034

Ketan Mahajan
Ketan Mahajan

Updated · Oct 6, 2025

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Introduction

The MENASA Commercial Vehicle Market is on a growth trajectory, projected to reach USD 686.6 Million by 2034, up from USD 327.9 Million in 2024, expanding at a 7.7% CAGR during 2025–2034. This surge reflects robust demand for freight and passenger transport vehicles across the Middle East, North Africa, and South Asia.

As urbanization accelerates, infrastructure expansion and rising e-commerce activity are reshaping transportation needs. Commercial vehicles are becoming central to logistics, construction, and passenger mobility, creating opportunities for manufacturers and service providers alike.

Moreover, government incentives, emission regulations, and increasing interest in hybrid and electric commercial vehicles (EVs) are driving the transition toward sustainable mobility. While internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles still dominate, the shift to cleaner energy is underway, supported by evolving consumer preferences and policy frameworks.

Key Takeaways

  • MENASA Commercial Vehicle Market size is expected to reach USD 686.6 Million by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 7.7% from USD 327.9 Million in 2024.
  • Light Duty commercial vehicles dominate with a 58.9% market share in 2024, driven by fuel efficiency and urban mobility.
  • Light Commercial Vehicles capture 52.6% of the market in 2024, supported by e-commerce and last-mile delivery needs.
  • Diesel vehicles hold a 67.3% share in 2024, due to reliability, efficiency, and refueling infrastructure.
  • Logistics applications account for 44.2% of the market in 2024, powered by trade growth and e-commerce expansion.

Market Segmentation Overview

The Light Duty segment leads the Class Type category with a 58.9% share, serving as the backbone for urban logistics and last-mile deliveries. Their compact size and efficiency make them ideal for congested cities, while rising e-commerce drives consistent adoption across the region.

In terms of Vehicle Type, Light Commercial Vehicles hold a 52.6% share, reflecting their importance in courier services, urban freight, and small business operations. Their adaptability and affordability make them the preferred choice in densely populated cities.

By Fuel Type, Diesel vehicles dominate with 67.3%, leveraging superior torque, extended range, and an established refueling network. Despite the rise of clean fuels, diesel remains crucial for long-haul and heavy-load operations.

Within End-Use, Logistics leads with 44.2%, fueled by expanding trade corridors and the region’s e-commerce boom. Demand for warehousing and last-mile delivery solutions continues to strengthen this segment’s market position.

Drivers

1. Rising E-Commerce and Logistics Demand
The surge in online retail across MENASA nations is fueling demand for efficient delivery fleets. With expanding digital marketplaces, companies need flexible transportation solutions to ensure timely distribution, accelerating the adoption of Light Duty and Light Commercial Vehicles.

2. Government Push for Clean Transportation
Regulatory support and incentives for electric and hybrid vehicles are reshaping fleet investment strategies. Governments in Saudi Arabia, UAE, and India are offering tax exemptions, rebates, and infrastructure development programs to encourage businesses to transition to low-emission fleets.

Use Cases

1. Urban Delivery and Last-Mile Logistics
Commercial vehicles are increasingly deployed for last-mile e-commerce deliveries, especially in dense urban environments. Compact LCVs ensure faster turnaround times and accessibility to narrow streets, improving delivery efficiency and customer satisfaction.

2. Infrastructure and Construction Projects
With ongoing megaprojects like Saudi Vision 2030 and infrastructure expansion in India and UAE, Heavy Duty and Medium Duty vehicles are critical for transporting materials and equipment, ensuring timely execution of large-scale projects.

Major Challenges

1. Inadequate Charging Infrastructure for EV Fleets
The slow rollout of charging networks across MENASA poses a major hurdle to electric commercial vehicle adoption. Limited public charging points create range anxiety, restricting fleet electrification plans and slowing the transition to green mobility.

2. Fuel Price Volatility
Fluctuating oil prices affect operational costs and planning for logistics firms. Spikes in diesel or gasoline prices compress profit margins, discouraging small operators from scaling fleets or adopting alternative energy solutions without cost certainty.

Business Opportunities

1. Growth of Autonomous and Connected Vehicles
The adoption of AI and IoT-enabled fleets opens new opportunities for predictive maintenance, route optimization, and driverless logistics. Autonomous trucks are poised to enhance safety, reduce labor costs, and improve fleet utilization.

2. Rise in Specialized Vehicle Demand
Expanding food delivery, healthcare logistics, and pharmaceuticals create demand for refrigerated and temperature-controlled vehicles. These niche markets offer high-margin opportunities for manufacturers providing tailored solutions.

Recent Developments

  • 2024Daimler AG strengthened its presence with a wider range of heavy-duty trucks and integration of smart vehicle management technologies.
  • 2024PACCAR Inc. expanded its fuel-efficient portfolio under Kenworth and Peterbilt brands, enhancing regional service capabilities.
  • 2024Hino aligned its strategy with eco-friendly trends, focusing on light and medium-duty vehicle demand across MENASA.
  • 2024Scania advanced its sustainability goals with hybrid and electric commercial vehicle offerings tailored to MENASA’s logistics sector.

Conclusion

The MENASA Commercial Vehicle Market is undergoing a pivotal transformation fueled by e-commerce expansion, infrastructure development, and sustainability initiatives. While diesel-powered vehicles currently dominate, the rising adoption of electric, hybrid, and connected vehicles signals a long-term shift toward clean mobility.

As governments implement green policies and invest in charging infrastructure, opportunities abound for manufacturers introducing efficient, eco-friendly fleets. The region’s strategic location as a global trade hub, coupled with rapid urbanization, ensures continued demand for commercial vehicles across logistics, construction, and passenger transport sectors.

By embracing technology, sustainability, and customer-centric innovation, key industry players are well-positioned to capitalize on this dynamic market’s next phase of growth through 2034.

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Ketan Mahajan

Ketan Mahajan

Hey! I am Ketan, working as a DME/SEO having 5+ Years of experience in this field leads to building new strategies and creating better results. I am always ready to contribute knowledge and that sounds more interesting when it comes to positive/negative outcomes.

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